Like it or not, Twitter has become an unavoidable part of our online lives. Created by Jack Dorsey and Biz Stone in 2006, the social networking platform’s reach has grown remarkably over the past four years.
According to a recent study conducted by Edison Research, 87 percent of the U.S. population is now aware of its existence. Surprising? Not really. Forget about Twitter’s overwhelming online presence, the site is constantly being thrown in our face throughout every media outlet imaginable. From CNN to ESPN, we’re constantly exposed to the endless stream of thoughts that Twitter encompasses.
While Twitter’s presence is undeniable, its future lacks certainty. Will Twitter continue to grow and thrive? In short, no. Why? Allow me to explain…
Putting the Numbers in Perspective
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With nearly 90 percent of the U.S. population completely aware of Twitter, certainly a majority of them are actively using the service, right? Not really.
Twitter gets an estimated 180 million unique visitors internationally per day, but not all of them have accounts. Of the estimated 106 million accounts on Twitter, only 3 percent have more than 100 followers, while 24 percent of users have 0 followers. Only 40 percent of people who try Twitter remain active on the service after their first month.
While Twitter does receive quite a bit of attention, it has been proven to be of little use to the majority of people.
It’s All the Rage… For Now
Obviously, Twitter gets a lot of its traffic from outside sources promoting their accounts on the site, but how much exactly? 75 percent. That’s right, three-fourths of Twitter’s visitors come to the site as a result of promotions made by third parties.
That’s all fine and well for now, but hype eventually dies. What happens when these outside sources decide to abandon the social networking platform for the next big thing? That, my friends, will be the end of Twitter as we know it.
Too Connected
So why, exactly, do 60 percent of Twitter users quit within the first month of using the platform? Twitter simply doesn’t appeal to average internet users.
If you’re not a spammer, a narcissist, or a business owner, chances are Twitter isn’t of much use to you. Your everyday person signs up for Twitter to see what all the hype is about, figuring that they will be able to connect with friends and family, and read interesting news stories. Quickly, however, they are proven wrong. Twitter takes “connecting” to another level. New users are rapidly exposed to what Twitter is all about, and are overwhelmed with the constant influx of updates.
Most (normal) people don’t care what you’re eating for dinner, when you’re going to sleep, or how local firefighters rescued a cat from a nearby park. Soon, new Twitter users find that the platform is essentially a breeding ground for relentless marketing and ego inflation.
Funny enough, neither corporate entities nor people with a false sense of self-important care what you have to say. The way in which Twitter is used really defeats its purpose. If nearly every status update falls upon deaf ears, is it really connecting?
Other, Better Options
Despite the fact that Twitter is constantly shoved in your face, it’s not like there aren’t other options. There is an endless list of social networking mediums that exist, many of which are of much greater value to typical internet users. Sure, Twitter does an outstanding job of catering to users’ without much to say, but it is essentially useless to those who do have something to say. That’s where Facebook comes in.
Not only does Facebook cater to the average Joe by allowing them to speak their mind, they provide a familiar platform to do so. Learning from the mistakes that lead to the downfall of MySpace, Facebook provides a more familiar, easier to understand social networking experience.
Being wrapped up in the online tech world, you may not know it, but terms like hash, tweet, and retweet have no meaning to the vast majority of society. Terms such as like, fan, and share, however, are easily understood. Not to mention the fact that people actually like building, maintaining, and having a profile.
For these reasons, it’s clear why Facebook continues to dominate its competition. Currently second only to Google in terms of traffic, Facebook sees over 400 million people logging in every month, 50 percent of which visit the site every day.
Twitter Isn’t Profitable
Despite Twitter’s reach, the fact remains that they really don’t make any money. Why? Well, for one, they don’t really put much effort into actually becoming profitable. While this is a noble and refreshing concept considering the abundance of ad infested social networking platforms, it doesn’t do much for the company itself. Twitter relies on venture capital to fuel its operations.
How long will venture capital firms continue to shell out cash to an unprofitable service, though? In the end, all venture capital firms are concerned with is profiting from their investments.
This year, Twitter did release an advertising platform in hopes of turning profit. So far, it has yet to do so. Twitter limited the companies that they would allow to advertise to well known corporate entities, shunning small businesses who desire a self-serve advertising platform similar to Facebook’s. Hey, that’s their call, but how long will these advertisers last?
The truth of the matter is, their advertisements are reaching a demographic with a short attention span… people who, in all honesty, aren’t likely to even notice the advertisement as they quickly scan for updates. Why would these companies even pay for advertisements when there are thousands already following their account?
What do you think? Will Twitter continue to grow and prosper, or will it fade into non-existence once the hype dies down? Leave a comment and let us know.
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Timothy James Duffy is a full-time internet marketer, online content creator by day, and a Playstation 3 addict by night.
79 thoughts on “Bye Bye Birdie: Why Twitter is On the Outs”
Nice link bait article, but the only valid point is that twitter doesn’t really have a way to make money, and there’s no “moat” (barrier to entry) around their technology.
Here’s something to think about: Some day twitter client developers like stocktwits or twitteriffic will realize that they can simply swap out twitter as a backend and stick in their own technology and it will still work (at least for their own users, but for a big community like stocktwits, they might not even notice).
So maybe “Twitter” the company will go away, but not necessarily the twitter concept.
You have no idea how easy is to get new info about upcoming events, what’s hot and the insight of people you actually know if they have good taste or bad taste on the same window, it’s a customizable service, it’s free and certainly is easy. Please try twitter with an open mind and then write your review, btw I agree with the first comment
He said that twitter is on its way out due to its unsuccessful business model. He has obviously used the site. Did any of you people even read this article, or do you all really lack reading comprehension?
The article is right, though it is ironic that the author has a “follow me on twitter” link. While most of the arguments are weak, you can’t deny the last point about turning a profit. Unless it’s very secretive, I don’t see how twitter makes any money at all in order to sustain itself.
Hmmmm…let me go out on a limb here….it’s just a guess, but I’m thinking you’re not a Twitter user. Am I right? So you already made up your mind. And you, my friend are not the “everyday person” or “your average Joe”. You don’t speak for the masses.
Personally, I think it’s a bad call to label people who use a popular service spammers & narcissists. They are unlikely to ever return to your biased & self-serving blog.
You don’t like Twitter? Don’t use. By why trash people who do? That’s douchey.
Actually, he does speak for the masses, and you would have known that if you had read any of the statistics he presented in this article. 60% of people leave after one month? The masses have spoken.
Liz, his twitter is account is quite visibly advertised at the bottom of the page. He is clearly a twitter user.
NO where does he say twitter sucks. I feel you have taken this as an attack against twitter and therefore an attack against you… for some reason.
You have missed the point of the entire article, which was very truthful. The fact is, twitter isn’t profitable, and it probably never will be for all the reasons previously stated. If twitter can’t change it’s platform and make a profit, it is bound to go the way of myspace.
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Nice link bait article, but the only valid point is that twitter doesn’t really have a way to make money, and there’s no “moat” (barrier to entry) around their technology.
Here’s something to think about: Some day twitter client developers like stocktwits or twitteriffic will realize that they can simply swap out twitter as a backend and stick in their own technology and it will still work (at least for their own users, but for a big community like stocktwits, they might not even notice).
So maybe “Twitter” the company will go away, but not necessarily the twitter concept.
You have no idea how easy is to get new info about upcoming events, what’s hot and the insight of people you actually know if they have good taste or bad taste on the same window, it’s a customizable service, it’s free and certainly is easy. Please try twitter with an open mind and then write your review, btw I agree with the first comment
He said that twitter is on its way out due to its unsuccessful business model. He has obviously used the site. Did any of you people even read this article, or do you all really lack reading comprehension?
Arturo, from Cal Poly?
The article is right, though it is ironic that the author has a “follow me on twitter” link. While most of the arguments are weak, you can’t deny the last point about turning a profit. Unless it’s very secretive, I don’t see how twitter makes any money at all in order to sustain itself.
Hmmmm…let me go out on a limb here….it’s just a guess, but I’m thinking you’re not a Twitter user. Am I right? So you already made up your mind. And you, my friend are not the “everyday person” or “your average Joe”. You don’t speak for the masses.
Personally, I think it’s a bad call to label people who use a popular service spammers & narcissists. They are unlikely to ever return to your biased & self-serving blog.
You don’t like Twitter? Don’t use. By why trash people who do? That’s douchey.
Actually, he does speak for the masses, and you would have known that if you had read any of the statistics he presented in this article. 60% of people leave after one month? The masses have spoken.
Judging by the statistics, you must be one of the 40%. That is so hot. I want to squeeze your little buns Liz.
Liz, his twitter is account is quite visibly advertised at the bottom of the page. He is clearly a twitter user.
NO where does he say twitter sucks. I feel you have taken this as an attack against twitter and therefore an attack against you… for some reason.
You have missed the point of the entire article, which was very truthful. The fact is, twitter isn’t profitable, and it probably never will be for all the reasons previously stated. If twitter can’t change it’s platform and make a profit, it is bound to go the way of myspace.
An article written about how twitter is on the way out then you ask us to follow on twitter?
That made me LOL
Despite the fact he asked us to retweet his article, he’s got a point. I don’t see how Twitter can possibly survive. Do you?
Regard it as a test. Think he’s got a point. If people actually retweets he could change the statistics